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Shell Capital Management, LLC

We’ll see if the increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
“Of all the potential embarrassments to market efficiency, momentum is the primary one" --Eugene Fama
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
There has been a lot of talk about "hedge fund replication" and "democratizing alternative trading strategies" the past several years. To "replicate" or "democratize" something may only come from those who have actually achieved a track record of success trading the strategies.
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The stock market will need continued buying enthusiasm to reach and breakout above its January high. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
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The S&P 500 is still about -2.4% from it’s January high, so this has been a non-trending range-bound stock market trend for index investors in 2018. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
The stock index will need some buying enthusiasm to reach its prior high. We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Maybe the investor sentiment survey indicated those who wanted to buy stocks had already bought, so there wasn’t a lot of capital left for new buying demand to keep the price momentum going. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
Investor sentiment was asymmetric: more believe the market will go higher than lower. twitter.com/mikewshell/sta…
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Saw an announcement from an investment advisor firm saying they are “partnering” with a big Wall Street broker. It’s one of several who got a bailout from U.S. Taxpayers because they invested their own capital so poorly in 2008...
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Investor sentiment can also be a useful contrarian indicator to signal a trend is near its end. As such, it can be helpful to investors who tend to experience emotions after big price moves up or down. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
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Rising investor optimism in its early stages can be a driver of future price gains... but. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
Excessive investor sentiment is trend following – it just follows the price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
I charted the S&P 500 stock index along with bullish investor sentiment. We can see the recent spike up to 43% optimistic investors naturally followed the recent rise in the stock price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
When they get high, they believe they are going higher. At the highest high they are at their high point — euphoria. No, I’m not talking about #CannibusStocks or #marijuana #stocks, that's a whole different kind of high and sentiment :) asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
In January we observed something interesting. Investor sentiment increased sharply above its historical average in December and peaked as the stock market continued to trend up. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
I believe investor sentiment is both a driver of price trends, but their measures like investor sentiment polls are trend following. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
“Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market rebounded, rising above its historical average.” asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
Rising investor optimism in its early stages can be a driver of future price gains. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Investor sentiment can also be a useful contrarian indicator to signal a trend is near its end. As such, it can be helpful to investors who tend to experience emotions after big price moves up or down. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
"We’ll see if the recent increase in investor optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion." -Mike Shell asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
Excessive investor sentiment is trend following – it just follows the price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
I charted the S&P 500 stock index along with bullish investor sentiment. We can see the recent spike up to 43% optimistic investors naturally followed the recent rise in the stock price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
When they get high, they believe they are going higher. At the highest high they are at their high point — euphoria. No, I’m not talking about #CannibusStocks or #marijuana #stocks, that's a whole different kind of high and sentiment. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
"We’ll see if the recent increase in investor optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion." -Mike Shell asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Investor sentiment reaches an extreme after a price trend has made a big move. After the stock market reaches a new high, the media is talking about and writing about the new high, which helps to drive up optimism for higher highs. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
It is my observation that investor sentiment is trend following. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
I believe investor sentiment is both a driver of price trends, but their measures like investor sentiment polls are trend following. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
In January we observed something interesting. Investor sentiment increased sharply above its historical average in December and peaked as the stock market continued to trend up. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
“Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market rebounded, rising above its historical average.” asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
We believe investments and markets require active risk management to avoid larger losses and to create the positive asymmetric risk/reward investors want. To follow Mike Shell, founder, Chief Investment Officer, and Portfolio Manager at Shell Capital, follow: @MikeWShell
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
What direction do you believe is more likely for the stock market? #Investor #Sentiment #Poll
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
What direction do you believe is more likely for the stock market? #Investor #Sentiment #Poll
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
To take a profit in a stock or investment, would you rather: Sell into sell strength on the way up when buyers are enthusiastically buying? Or, wait and sell into weakness on the way down?
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@jposhaughnessy I also bought/listened to the cassettes... now that suddenly seems really historical... and ancient. 😂I
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@jposhaughnessy I read it over 13 years ago as I was developing/refining my risk management systems to direct and control the possibility of loss. Noah didn't wait for it to rain to start building the ark. :)
Retweeted by Shell Capital Management, LLC
The exit, not the entry, determines the outcome. We can either sell strength on the way up when buyers are enthusiastically buying... Or, wait and sell weakness on the way down... #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #RiskManager #RiskTaker #PortfolioManagement #TrendFollowing
"We use ETFs to gain specific exposure to a return stream such as a sector, country, commodity or currency. With an index ETF, we pretty much know what we’re going to get inside the ETF. @ShellChristi in @ETFcom etf.com/publications/e…
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