RJ Bell

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Each season @JFowlerESPN polls team insiders and produces position rankings. QB Top 10 is interesting - even more so (IMO) is the RANGE of rankings for each (what's the best/worst a trusted expert could rank this player). Here's a hopefully helpful visualization of the data.
+/- points (net score when on floor) for #Bucks FINALS SO FAR (two games combined): Giannis +4 points Jeff Teague -2 Bryn Forbes -8 Pat Connaughton -12 Bobby Portis -15 Brook Lopez -18 Jrue Holiday -19 P.J. Tucker -19 Khris Middleton -26 points
How did the rest of the Bucks do without Giannis? COMPARED TO OVERALL REG SEASON AVG Name: (Reg Season w/o) | (2 playoff gms w/o) Portis: +4.3 | +5.6 Teague: +3.8 | -1.1 Lopez: +2.9 | +10.7 Pat C: +2.7 | +4.2 Holiday: +2.4 | +3.3 Middleton: +2.1 | +8.6 Forbes: -.4 | -6.0
Game One: Suns favored ... 🤒 Earlier today, Giannis was Doubtful: Bucks +6 💉 Then upgraded to QUESTIONABLE (currently): Bucks +5.5 (surprisingly small 1/2 point move only -- meaning even if he plays, Vegas is skeptical that The Freak can be effective tonight.)
Since Chris Paul's return from Covid (2 games): 1st Half (w/Paul on floor) Suns +19 points combined 2nd Half (w/Paul on floor) Suns -31 points combined
🛩️November 2012! That's the last time Paul George had 15 defensive rebounds in a game (last night's haul was his MOST EVER in 105 playoff gms)#playoffPP#LAClipperss
🟥WORST Game 7 Home Losses [in NBA since 2005] 2005 Bos L by 27 v Ind 2009 Bos L by 19 v Orl 2019 LAC L by 15 v Den 2016 LAC L by 13 v Utah Notice a pattern? [in 56 other Game 7s during this span, NO OTHER home team lost by more than 10 points!]#DocRiverssU
Final FOUR 4th Quarters from Philly ---- Ben Simmons Combined Field Goal Attempts: 0
#MagicCityWings Atlanta Hawks (since Feb 21, 2021) HOME Won 21 of 23 (91% SU) Covered 19 of 23 (83% ATS) AWAY Won 13 of 27 (48% SU) Covered 11 of 27 (41% ATS)
Julius Randle shot 29.8% (on 94 attempts)in the Hawks series. Of the players with at least that many attempts this season, Randle’s percentage would have ranked 404th out of 405 players (ahead of only Jerome Robinson - waived by the Wizards on April 8th)
#Nets had the best Offensive Efficiency of all-time this season. In the 1st Half last night, they were 26 points BETTER than that!!!
Blake Griffin last night #effecient 🟢Dunk 🔴(missed) Layup 🔴(missed) Jumper 🟢Layup 🟢Dunk �Lzgf7U
#Celtics most-used 5-man lineup (consisting of players available for the playoffs) totaled only 39 game-minutes on the court together this season! nba.com/stats/team/161…
Vegas is Back!! After working with @ClarkCountyNV & @CityOfLasVegas , @PasqualeRotella & I are proud to present the return of major live entertainment to #LasVegas @DLVEC @deadmau5 @insomniacevents dlvec.com/event/deadmau5
Retweeted by RJ Bell
Biggest QB Busts (last DECADE) [in order; among 15 QBs selected in Top Five overall] 13) M Trubisky 14) B Bortles 15) S Darnold Yet, the very worst just had ... * $19 Million guaranteed for 2022 * his competition traded away * his team pass on drafting a highly rated QB Why?
Draft Day betting steam says 3) Trey Lance (!) 4) Kyle Pitts 5) Jamar Chase Waddle #11 or earlier (& goes before WR Smith) Jaycee Horn #12 or earlier 5 or more CBs in 1st Rd Surprises in respected last mocks🎯... o/u for CB T. Campbell is pick 49.5 (system says expect earlier)
Dylan was referencing JC when he wrote: "with the final shot he won the war After losing every battle" But tonight it feels like it could be about my OVER 10.5 bet on the sum of the Final Four teams' seeds #UCLA #11pluswhateverwins
#Dolphins / #49ers Trade Takeaways [assumes T Lawrence to Jax] Jets ❤️1QB (likely turned down this trade) SF❤️at least 2 rookie QBs (pick after Jets) SF❌Jimmy G (Patriots trade?) Jets ❌ Darnold (increases trade likelihood?) Miami❤️Tua (if wrong, how much does the rest matter?)
My Early NFL Best Bet Washington +350 to Win NFC East #fitzmagic #NOdakota Released first on STRAIGHT OUTTA VEGAS Weekdays 6 ET on @FoxSportsRadio🌎b
I’ve HATED the “1st round is really the 2nd round” crap — but who am I to fight progress? So officially my streak of never having one of my Final Four teams eliminated in the 1st Rd continues! [not convinced? me either.] twitter.com/FoxSportsRadio…
The GENIUS of Vegas Conf Tourney Finals (n) UNDERS 2005-17: 58%🤑 since 2018: 47% During these losing yrs unders actually won 63% vs OPENING#s ⁉️ Bettors discover system Bet UNDER O/Us drop Turning enough Ws into Ls (9 of 59 games) to turn the system into a loser#VegasGeniuss
Skeptics of technology just don't know how to maximize its impact ...
Zack Wilson over T. Lawrence says @CSimmsQB 1) The GUTS to buck group-think is a rare quality 2) "Who did he play?" you might ask. Consider RELATIVE level of competition: 🔴T. Lawrence (Clemson) favored by 25 ppg on average 🟢Zack Wilson (BYU) fav by 19 ppg this season 🤔
We bet Devin Booker OVER points tonight (now up to 27.5) plus Ov 33.5 +270 Ov 35.5 +400 Ov 36.5 +500 Ov 37.5 +630 Ov 38.5 +750 [Max Bet on main; 50% COMBINED on alt lines] Handicap: Booker makes statement regarding his All-Star worthiness (likely facilitated by all-star CP3)
Tampa Bay by 22 points ... In Brady’s 6 Titles w/#Patriots, NE won those Super Bowl games by a COMBINED 29 points.
One less thing for Dylan to wonder about today: "I was thinkin' 'bout Alicia Keys, couldn't keep from crying When she was born in Hell's Kitchen I was living down the line I'm wondering where in the world Alicia Keys could be I been looking for her even clear through Tennessee"
FOR THE FIRST TIME the #SBLV market line is BELOW KC -3 (spread still 3, but now bettors on average paying more vig to take TB +3 than to lay KC -3). Tampa money has been steady the entire two-weeks ...
IF you like OVERS on passing props: 1⃣ You should have bet LAST Sunday (as SB approaches:🔺public% =🔺over prices) 2⃣ Look toward OVER receptions (not yards); KC O-Line 🤒= shorter passes, not less passes; so if betting OVER, my bias is for Receptions, if UNDER, go with Yards.
My fav PROP THESIS: Tampa will PUNT MORE w/bias toward exposure as EARLY in game as possible (1st to punt best, then 1st to 3 punts, etc) (early bc TB likely to get ball first + Brady's 1Q struggles + neutral game state more likely [KC bolder than TB unless gm state dictates])
It's been 6.5 years since ...
I was there too, Sam, that time (but not this time) #steelers #bruce twitter.com/LATimesfarmer/…
Too many are still getting this #Rams / #Lions wrong. Best to think of it as 2 SEPERATE trades: 🟢Rams get Stafford | Lions get 1st + 3rd 🟢Rams get RELIEF from Goff contract | Lions get Goff + 1st (Goff has value as a player, but had negative-value at his contracted costrV
If you're not following it closely, the dynamics of GameStop (GME) trading are perhaps the most interesting I have ever seen. Yes, ever. And (with a sigh) I say they ultimately can be summed up by this Dylan gem: The masters make the rules For the wise men and the fools.
Early Super Bowl Line: KC -3.5 at TB
Encouraged by the strong response to this … I guess our teachers were right about math having a practical purpose later in life! twitter.com/RJinVegas/stat…
"If you're betting in the NBA this year ..." youtube.com/watch?v=MwG90j…
You can't buck the #'s if you don't got the #'s Here you go! BEST ... Team: Bills Offense: GB QB: Rodgers Rush O: KC Defense: TB Pass D: TB Rush D: TB Most Turnover Luck: TB Net Pts: GB Toughest schedule: TB [Help spread the knowledge - all it takes is an RT 🙏]K
#Packers scoring margin this season: 1st Q: +9 pts 2nd Q: +136 pts 3rd Q: +19 pts 4th Q: -7 pts Green Bay has outscored opp by: +145 points in 1st Half +12 points in the 2nd Half
That makes 9 STRAIGHT games for the #Chiefs without a single Against The Spread cover! (0-8-1 ATS)
Saturday morning podcast ☀️ @RJinVegas joins me. Breaking down the four weekend NFL playoff games. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
Retweeted by RJ Bell
Could be our best week this season - both good game disscussions plus big picture playoff betting concepts ... twitter.com/colincowherd/s…
Sam Darnold is ranked ... ⏬ LAST in QBR (33 of 33) ⤵️ 37 of 40 by PFF 📉 25 of 27 by EPA 🔻🔻 84 of 84 (!!) by Sports Info Solutions If you're saying "But he had mono last year" ... we're not the show for you. STRAIGHT OUTTA VEGAS at 6 et weekdays@FoxSportsRadioadio 🌎)
Who would you rather have as your QB?
Tua Tagovailoa was the 5th pick in this year's draft. If the Miami Dolphins traded him right now, how much DRAFT VALUE would they get in return?
EARLY PLAYOFF LINES Buffalo -6.5 vs Indy Seattle -4.5 LA Rams Baltimore -4.5 at Tenn New Orleans -9 vs Chicago Pitt -3.5 vs Cleveland
$5000 Supercontest Gold picks from @pregame 4-1 last week ... giving us a nice cushion to deliver our 3rd winning season (in the 3 year history of this contest) Week 17 is always complex. We got some good numbers in the contest - be careful.
We taped at 8 am on New Years Day - so you know Colin was serious about these picks; and I was ... insufficiently rested. twitter.com/ColinCowherd/s…
HISTORIC is an overused word - but can you remember any other time that an NFL pointspread moved based on the availability of a BACKUP QB?? Thursday [10:30 am PT] Buffalo avg -1.5 . . Fitzpatrick's announcement . . [1:30] pm PT Buffalo avg -3 📢 Vegas says ... Tua < Fitzpatrick
Notre Dame in big Bowl Games (last 20 years) Straight-Up: 0-6 Against The Spread: 0-6 Not Even Close! ⤵️ Losing by 24 ppg on average (no game closer than two TDs) ⤵️ -17.2 point ATS Margin per game (no game within 9 pts of the spread)
$5000 Supercontest Gold picks from @pregame Tread carefully: it has not been a good recent run - plus, less games today to choose from (we don't typically like the tradeoff of early deadline for all picks if you use any pre-Sunday games)
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