RJ Bell

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Fans can feel foolish when they seemingly care more than the team. We #Steelers fans need not worry about that.
🟧 BET made by me … OL Tyler Smith (Tulsa) UNDER 32.5 [YES to be drafted in 1st Round] Laying -150 is widely available.
Last night: Heat won; but Hawks covered as an underdog … Ending a 68 GAME STREAK (w/Hawks as a dog) that the spread DIDN’T MATTER! Details (68 games) 26 outright wins 0-42 Against The Spread when losing as a dog Atlanta’s plus-points hadn’t been enough since Feb 12, 2021!
Got to give it to @FoxSportsRadio - promoting STRAIGHT OUTTA VEGAS at the Super Bowl (today on Radio Row) and I haven’t even left Las Vegas! Listen to STRAIGHT OUTTA VEGAS Weekdays 6 ET (on 225 FSR stations nationwide)
Early Super Bowl line has settled at LA Rams -4 over Bengals
Salute to #BigBen - the Greatest Steelers QB of all-time. 18 seasons 12 playoffs appearances 3 AFC Championships 2 Super Bowl Titles 0 Losing seasons
[Week Seventeen] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame ... 8 of 10 winning weeks (w/perfect 5-0 last week). Big line value already (at current market I've bet Giants +7.5)
First time using my new water filtering pitcher -- wishing I’d saved the instructions. #progress
Baltimore vs Green Bay 16 total drives (not counting 2 kneel-outs) 4 of those drives gained NO 1st Downs Of the remaining 12 drives (1) 70 yard (7+ min) drive (to start the game) for 0 points then (8) TDS (2) FG (1) punt
Analytics (math models) are based upon underlying assumptions which are (educated) guesses. Respected models (best guesses) * provide the most accurate insight into vital scenarios * pose a grave risk if their level of uncertainty is not acknowledged [see 2008 Housing Crisis)
[Week Fifteen] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame
[Week Fourteen] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame ... Going for 7 out of 8 winning weeks ...
20+ years in Vegas could turn a man cynical -- but not me! TOGETHER no problem is too big (world hunger, dare I say?) if only we could somehow harness & redirect the collective mental energy used by the sports media to explain away Trevor Lawrence's crappy QB play. #dreamer
Browns at Ravens 23 drives combined (excluding kneel-downs) 🟢🟢2 TDs 🟩🟩🟩🟩4 FGs 🟥1 Miss FG 🟫1 Failed 4th Down 😡😡2 Fumbles 🔴🔴🔴🔴4 INTs 🟤🟤🟤🟤🟤🟤🟤🟤🟤 9 punts
First 8 drives for TB at Indy: 7 of 8 failed to gain a First Down (and the one that did ended with a Turnover) P.S. 69 points were scored in this game
At the risk of offending some of the "smart" minds on Twitter ... There's more to winning than going for every 4th Down ... + computers can't replace all of the grind
[Week Twelve] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame ... going for 6th straight winning week - but be cautious, not too enthused about this short card.
So this is what it is to lose. Ok.
When does the average Michigan fans start thinking up excuses?
[Week Eleven] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame ... 4-1 last week; going for 5th straight winning week ...
2nd half of Carolina (prior tweet) Browns game (inserted here) Last night vs. Atlanta (prior tweet)
punt INT INT INT Downs punt punt Miss FG punt punt punt INT INT INT INT Ladies & Gentleman ... the New England Patriots Defense their last game and a half ...
🎙️@RJinVegass: "What these odds are telling us, shockingly, is that Alabama could get in with two losses. That they could lose to Georgia and get in...How could that be?...I'm having an epiphany Best Bet...Alabama to NOT make the playoffs +115." foxsportsradio.iheart.com/content/2021-1…j
Retweeted by RJ Bell
[Week Ten] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame ... Going for 4th straight winning week ...
TOP team entering the year When they win = "See, one of the best." When they lose = "No, that's due to Excuse[X]" or "Unavoidable variance" NOT TOP team entering Win = "Lucky" Lose = "See, not one of the best" I'm certainly not immune to this. Tennessee = impressive
The "Manning Cast" Curse?
A strong case can be made that the best AFC team is not as good as: Tampa Bay or LA Rams or Green Bay Packers or Arizona Cardinals or Dallas Cowboys That's 5 NFC teams that could be reasonable ranked ahead of the best AFC team (whoever that is). !!!!! #ColdCash > Hot Takes
[Week Nine] $5,000 Entry SuperContest #Gold for @pregame
Who would you rather have on your team?
If the season ended today, Carolina Panthers (led by Sam Darnold!!) would make the playoffs! #notconvincednotevenclose
Asking for a friend (with a huge Mia +14 &⬇️parlay) 2:21 left; Mia down 9 🏈 Own 19 (3rd & 26) Win% model: Mia <1% (rest of game matters only to bettors) Is it wrong from me to think a personal apology from Tua is called for? It might make me - I mean, my friend - feel better.d
Late! One 1:00 start - and here's the rest:
My NFL Power Ratings:
Supercontest picks #gold
279 QBs w/30+ plays in non-garbage time (defined as win% NOT <10% nor >90%) since 1999 (via rbsdm.com) 📈 Mac Jones ranked #1 MOST ACCURATE (measured by completion% over expectation) ⏬ Zack Wilson is the LEAST EFFECIENT (measured by EPA) ... ranking 279 of 279!
Picks for Week 2
It's easy not to "sell out" if no one is buying. Norm wasn't selling himself out no matter how big the checkbook was. #RIPNormMacDonald
Each season @JFowlerESPN polls team insiders and produces position rankings. QB Top 10 is interesting - even more so (IMO) is the RANGE of rankings for each (what's the best/worst a trusted expert could rank this player). Here's a hopefully helpful visualization of the data.
+/- points (net score when on floor) for #Bucks FINALS SO FAR (two games combined): Giannis +4 points Jeff Teague -2 Bryn Forbes -8 Pat Connaughton -12 Bobby Portis -15 Brook Lopez -18 Jrue Holiday -19 P.J. Tucker -19 Khris Middleton -26 points
How did the rest of the Bucks do without Giannis? COMPARED TO OVERALL REG SEASON AVG Name: (Reg Season w/o) | (2 playoff gms w/o) Portis: +4.3 | +5.6 Teague: +3.8 | -1.1 Lopez: +2.9 | +10.7 Pat C: +2.7 | +4.2 Holiday: +2.4 | +3.3 Middleton: +2.1 | +8.6 Forbes: -.4 | -6.0
Game One: Suns favored ... 🤒 Earlier today, Giannis was Doubtful: Bucks +6 💉 Then upgraded to QUESTIONABLE (currently): Bucks +5.5 (surprisingly small 1/2 point move only -- meaning even if he plays, Vegas is skeptical that The Freak can be effective tonight.)
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