Naval

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@naval You're not pro-ukraine if you are not ready to use nukes to save ukraine
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Civil disagreement is welcome. Anyone making it personal will be blocked.
We can be pro-Ukraine, anti-Russia, and still acknowledge that NATO should not risk a global thermonuclear war to defend a non-NATO country.
The best way to prevent nuclear war is to allow your field of vision to get so clouded by hyper-moralism and ideological zealotry that you no longer have the ability to rationally evaluate the threat environment
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Unfortunately, the game theory of nuclear brinkmanship favors the player that needs the win more.
“What did you get done this week” is a great question for every founder and CEO. twitter.com/techemails/sta…
If Russia uses nuclear weapons, all of humanity will turn its back on Russia.
Many players are in iterated games where they care about their reputation and, because contractualizing commitments is slow and costly, they need their repeat counterparties to understand that there is an industry culture of promises and promises made in that culture *are kept.*
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If you always tell the truth, you won’t have to rehearse what you’re going to say.
@naval @punk6529 Where there's a voltage, the current takes the path of least resistance. I like to think of reality somewhat like that. What has to happen in time, will. If one offers low resistance and more presence, it can happen through them.
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Most of the time, the mind is just mud wrestling with itself.
Venture funds sell brand in exchange for the right to invest money.
Don’t argue with idiots on the Internet. How do you know you’re arguing with an idiot? Because they’re arguing with idiots on the Internet.
Panic led to lockdowns. Lockdowns led to fiscal stimulus. Stimulus led to inflation. Inflation led to monetary tightening. Tightening leads to recession. The panic wasn’t free - and the bill is coming due.
Artificial means “of the mind.”
I’m hiring *one more* SwiftUI engineer for a new app I’m building. Looking exclusively for proven builders. Please contact me here: forms.gle/qRSCvUWMz9exzU… P.S. We’re not raising money and I can’t share the idea, but there’s equity if you refer a hire :)
The praise from being right becomes the pain from being wrong.
Children don’t get defensive about being corrected. “Beginner’s mind” may be better understood as “child’s mind.”
A head of PR without a social media following is like a head of engineering that can’t code.
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If you don’t love the product, and you don’t love the team, you won’t go the distance.
We have magic rocks that produce essentially unlimited power. The pretzels we twist ourselves into to deny this fact are astounding. Bend over and pick up the money on the sidewalk already.
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Ignore the clickbaity title.
Inflation is how democracies die. ~Charlie Munger youtu.be/v5UCmsXpngA
Never attribute to conspiracy what is more easily explained by incentives and incompetence.
Some Sunday morning writing. A book that changed my life before it was written. ↓ visualizevalue.com/blogs/feed/the…
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The struggle between collectivists and the individual is as old as humanity itself.
It’s not thinking that hurts, it’s thinking about yourself that hurts.
To be clear student loan forgiveness would make sense if the *university* paid the bill. Without pain for the university they have no incentive to change the worthless degrees they charge for. Charging $100K equally for engineering degree vs humanities is insane.
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If you allow secret information, secret police, and secret courts, you will eventually be ruled by a secret government.
Mercenaries work for money. Missionaries build for others. Artists create for themselves.
Every government project ends up as a jobs program.
Today is a good day for everyone to post this.
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Leave everything better than you found it.
If you want to earn respect, just take on responsibility.
Naval's Razor: If you can't decide between 2 choices, take the path that's more difficult/painful in the short term. Doing this will counteract "hyperbolic discounting," the brain's tendency to overestimate short term pain and underestimate long term pain.
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Solution to the "AI in a Box" experiment: "Who wants to be God? First one to raise their hand, wins."
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I just published “what problem does web3 solve, anyway?” On @viamirror mirror.xyz/0xE4f646F0Be4f…
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The best meditation is being genuinely curious about the contents of your own mind.
If your title matters to you, you don’t belong at a startup.
The modern world is managed by bureaucracies staffed with average people. Bureaucrats pile on rule after rule to keep the below-average from hurting themselves or others. Smart & capable individuals need to either opt-out of society or win big before the system suffocates them.
TRAINING & LEARNING The deeper you dive, the deeper it gets. How you evolve. 🧵
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Being born human is an “unfair” advantage.
With 9.1% inflation if your portfolio makes less than 12% per year, the IRS takes 100% of your real dollar returns
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If you’re not ready to be hated, you’re not ready to be famous.
Money just comes to me, because I know where to stand.
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