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Mike Shell 🇺🇸

Many investors oscillate between the fear of missing out and the fear of losing money. When they fear losing money, they panic sell. When they fear missing out, they chase trends too late.
5h
"It is so easy to be wrong—and to persist in being wrong—when the costs of being wrong are paid by others."
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
Netflix $NFLX is down -13% after reporting subscriber growth of 5.2 million in its 2nd quarter -- below its own target of 6.2 million new, paying viewers. The stock may find support at the prior flat base if who didn't buy that breakout have some buying interest on the pullback.
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
Netflix $NFLX is down -13% after reporting subscriber growth of 5.2 million in its 2nd quarter -- below its own target of 6.2 million new, paying viewers. The stock may find support at the prior flat base if who didn't buy that breakout have some buying interest on the pullback.
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
Even after today's -13% decline in Netflix $NFLX, the stock is "only" up 82% year-to-date. Its price gain was about 20% in just over month from the pivot point of the prior flat base.
Netflix $NFLX is down -13% after reporting subscriber growth of 5.2 million in its 2nd quarter -- below its own target of 6.2 million new, paying viewers. The stock may find support at the prior flat base if who didn't buy that breakout have some buying interest on the pullback.
We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
The stock market will need continued buying enthusiasm to reach and breakout above its January high. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
The stock market will need continued buying enthusiasm to reach and breakout above its January high. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
There has been a lot of talk about "hedge fund replication" and "democratizing alternative trading strategies" the past several years. To "replicate" or "democratize" something may only come from those who have actually achieved a track record of success trading the strategies.
“Of all the potential embarrassments to market efficiency, momentum is the primary one" --Eugene Fama
The stock index will need some buying enthusiasm to reach and exceed its prior high. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Our deer are little small in South Florida. 🦌l
We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
“Optimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market rebounded, rising above its historical average.” asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
It is my observation that investor sentiment is trend following. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
When they get high, they believe they are going higher. At the highest high they are at their high point — euphoria. No, I’m not talking about #CannibusStocks or #marijuana #stocks, that's a whole different kind of high and sentiment :) asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Excessive investor sentiment is trend following – it just follows the price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
I charted the S&P 500 stock index along with bullish investor sentiment. We can see the recent spike up to 43% optimistic investors naturally followed the recent rise in the stock price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Rising investor optimism in its early stages can be a driver of future price gains... but. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
In January we observed something interesting. Investor sentiment increased sharply above its historical average in December and peaked as the stock market continued to trend up. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
I believe investor sentiment is both a driver of price trends, but their measures like investor sentiment polls are trend following. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
Investor sentiment can also be a useful contrarian indicator to signal a trend is near its end. As such, it can be helpful to investors who tend to experience emotions after big price moves up or down. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
Saw an announcement from an investment advisor firm saying they are “partnering” with a big Wall Street broker. It’s one of several who got a bailout from U.S. Taxpayers because they invested their own capital so poorly in 2008...
Investor sentiment can also be a useful contrarian indicator to signal a trend is near its end. As such, it can be helpful to investors who tend to experience emotions after big price moves up or down. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
I believe investor sentiment is both a driver of price trends, but their measures like investor sentiment polls are trend following. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
In January we observed something interesting. Investor sentiment increased sharply above its historical average in December and peaked as the stock market continued to trend up. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
#Investor #Sentiment #Poll this time was symmetry -- a balance between bulls and bears. twitter.com/MikeWShell/sta…
We’ll see if the recent increase in optimism above its historical average is enough to drive stocks to new highs, or if it’s a signal of exhaustion. asymmetryobservations.com/2018/07/13/sto…
What direction do you believe is more likely for the stock market? #Investor #Sentiment #Poll
Investor sentiment was asymmetric: more believe the market will go higher than lower. twitter.com/mikewshell/sta…
@jposhaughnessy I also bought/listened to the cassettes... now that suddenly seems really historical... and ancient. 😂I
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
@jposhaughnessy I read it over 13 years ago as I was developing/refining my risk management systems to direct and control the possibility of loss. Noah didn't wait for it to rain to start building the ark. :)
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
To take a profit in a stock or investment, would you rather: Sell into sell strength on the way up when buyers are enthusiastically buying? Or, wait and sell into weakness on the way down?
"Mike Shell tactically shifts between ETFs, based on investor behavioral measures and supply/demand. So our portfolio management style itself is the active management; we are, essentially, actively managing beta." @ShellChristi in @ETFcom etf.com/publications/e…
Retweeted by Mike Shell 🇺🇸
 
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