FiveThirtyEight

All Photos Twitter.com 14 hours ago
“There are traits that likely prime people to be more prone to holding these beliefs, and you may find that when you take stock of these traits, you aren’t far removed from your cousin who is convinced the world is run by lizard people.” 53eig.ht/3wE8a5b
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The 5 POLITICAL boroughs of New York City: 53eig.ht/2Sb1rkr
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How did such a talented group find itself here? 53eig.ht/3gDz9s1
How good are FiveThirtyEight forecasts? We checked all of our work: 53eig.ht/3vGkQHz
Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. 53eig.ht/3vyApRy
What score can Magritte expect to achieve? 53eig.ht/2THVQCs
637 International Club Soccer Teams, Ranked: 53eig.ht/3xvqzBl
It’s early yet, but the anticipated runoff between President Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen could have huge consequences for France’s domestic and international politics given the daylight between the two. 53eig.ht/3gFEfEq
In the last year and a quarter, the pandemic has served as a stark reminder of just how unequal America still is. But it also hasn’t been a “reminder” for everyone. 53eig.ht/3wKHuA4
After Yermín Mercedes hit the ball 429 feet for his sixth home run of the year, his Hall of Fame manager, Tony La Russa, was swift in condemnation. 53eig.ht/3iSsT1o
As the number of two-way roads converging at the intersection approaches infinity, what value does the probability of crashing approach? 53eig.ht/3zCVehV
Why people fall for conspiracy theories: 53eig.ht/2S9MvmC
The Most Valuable Player race is largely a three-person contest at this point. 53eig.ht/3q7RG2Q
Ultimately, the more binary the party system, the stronger the out-party hatred. But there is also something particular about what’s happening in the U.S., even compared to other majoritarian(ish) democracies. 53eig.ht/3zC3nmR
What is the probability the cars will crash? 53eig.ht/3zA3LCd
The legacies of Black leaders in the words of their descendants: 53eig.ht/3gDOwzC
Our 2021 MLB predictions, updated after every game → 53eig.ht/35zPUOB
How popular is President Biden? 53eig.ht/3gzStq5
“Martin Luther King Jr. Day symbolizes the best of what America is even if it doesn’t reflect the whole story. Juneteenth, though, is a different case, as it represents delayed freedom.” 53eig.ht/3cUFZHk
As the number of two-way roads converging at the intersection approaches infinity, what value does the probability of crashing approach? 53eig.ht/3q9p5Kx
So if Ronald Acuña Jr. is only getting better, why are the Atlanta Braves not winning more? 53eig.ht/3iR3VPL
Why the left has struggled to break through in the NYC mayoral race: 53eig.ht/2UbS4kV
The day tells a broader story of how emancipation was woefully delayed for Black people enslaved deep in the Confederacy. 53eig.ht/2SDxolI
If Trump was transformative, the more important question is: Why was he able to succeed in the first place? 53eig.ht/3q65gE2
Why people fall for conspiracy theories: 53eig.ht/3cP8Xsg
What is the probability the cars will crash? 53eig.ht/35Ce372
Sprinters in recent years have unlocked the ability to prolong their careers. 53eig.ht/3wAx1a6
Here’s why it’s a big deal that Juneteenth is finally a federal holiday: 53eig.ht/3iZ1ryG
The most exciting takeaway from the research for this story (thank you to @SaraMZiegler and team for letting me do it) was that the two most disrespectful homers in modern history, per unwritten rules, were BOTH hit by Tony La Russa players fivethirtyeight.com/features/which…
Retweeted by FiveThirtyEight
There are traits that likely prime people to be more prone to holding conspiratorial beliefs—and when you take stock of these traits, you may find you aren’t far removed from your cousin who believes the world is run by lizard people. Via @FiveThirtyEight abcn.ws/3qcU8Fu
Retweeted by FiveThirtyEight
The legacies of Black leaders in the words of their descendants: 53eig.ht/3gDOwzC
Why many Americans don’t see the racial wealth gap: 53eig.ht/3cPIRFw
What score can Magritte expect to achieve? 53eig.ht/3qaANEB
Rounding up the national elections taking place in America's G7 partners: 53eig.ht/3qffy4H
Which teams will be limping into the conference finals? 53eig.ht/3daKHkH
You could make a case that this year was shaping up to stand tallest among Kawhi Leonard’s playoff seasons — even compared with his Finals MVP campaigns of 2014 and 2019. That’s why it’s so disheartening to see Leonard’s 2021 postseason in jeopardy. 53eig.ht/2S7ItuQ
How the NBA's injuries changed the playoff landscape: 53eig.ht/3gFqhSE
For now, the 2021 Atlanta Braves are a case study in what happens when just about everything that can go wrong does, even when your best player holds up his end of the bargain. 53eig.ht/35zScx7
Germany and Japan will hold parliamentary elections later this year, while France’s next presidential election is in April 2022. Additionally, Canada could also hold its parliamentary election fairly soon, too. 53eig.ht/3qaczL2
Against historical precedent, these decorated runners have extended their careers deep into their 30s. 53eig.ht/3xvNfkT
Kawhi Leonard is just the latest case of a devastating star injury in an NBA playoffs that’s been much too full of them — and the latest potential roadblock between the Clippers and the championship they’ve been seeking for so long. 53eig.ht/3xBM0kl
dubin: “I also just really, really dislike the idea of, "You can't win with [insert player X here]." You can win with anyone in the right context, with the right amount of luck.” 53eig.ht/3gItXCa
In baseball of all sports, one superstar does not a successful team make. 53eig.ht/3iOKUgL
What is the probability the cars will crash? 53eig.ht/3gFaOlT
Where is the progressive left in the NYC mayoral race? 53eig.ht/3cSi8bo
31% of working Americans would prefer to work from home going forward, and another 26% would prefer a mixture of remote and on-site work, according to a new CBS News/YouGov survey. 43% said they still preferred working at their workplace the most. 53eig.ht/3gAtnaL
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