Crisis Group

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🎧 Even in autocratic contexts, there is a constant changing of tactics for how to respond to protestors,@Ericamaratt tells @OliyaOliker and@Hugh_Popee in this episode. Any collective action is seen as a direct challenge to the political regime ⇊apple.co/2Zpd9rD8
The impact of #COVID19 in Latin America, from stifling public protests to reducing homicide rates, and whether we are likely to see these trends continue... 👉New podcast with@NazModirzadehh,@atwoodrr &@CrisisGroupp Program Director for Latin America@itbriscoee 🎧⬇twitter.com/CrisisGroup/st…5D
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#16Feb Tiziano Breda (@TizBreda), analista para América Central del International Crisis Group, conversa en #LEV sobre las próximas elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional en El Salvador, con el partido del presidente Nayib Bukele como favorito. #TVV LEV
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Foreign governments need to maintain channels of communication with the military regime and continue to press the generals to reverse course. Isolating Myanmar would equate to abandoning its people at a time when international support matters most.
Read our briefing: Responding to the Myanmar Coup crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
Arms sales to Myanmar should stop or be suspended. Stopping or suspending sales would not only send a strong signal but could also weaken the regime’s capabilities by constraining its capacity to maintain existing equipment.
Sanctions can target those responsible for the coup and military interests but should spare the population and the economy.
The immediate objective should be to deter deadly violence against protesters. Western and Asian partners should keep up the pressure in urging the military to show restraint.
The military coup in #Myanmar has brought a sudden halt to the democratic transition. The coup cannot go unchallenged. But the international response must be realistic about its leverage over the generals. 🧵 Our briefing ⇉bit.ly/3plTrY9hd
A problem the region might face under a Biden admin is that the Dems will probably be escalatory enough in their rhetoric towards authoritarian govs making them more paranoid, and passive enough in their actions keeping their partners exposed. aljazeera.com/news/2021/2/17…
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Des éléments très positifs dans ce communiqué final avec la prise en compte de la protection des civils, des droits de l’homme, de la gouvernance des systèmes de sécurité en matière de ressources humaines et financières, de lutte contre l’impunité, ... elysee.fr/emmanuel-macro…
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A youth-led protest movement has brought Thailand to a perilous juncture, calling for political reforms & raising the taboo issue of the monarchy’s political role. Read @CrisisGroup’s recommendations for the EU & its members states from our #WatchList2021 crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
Excellent report by ICG on #Myanmarcoup: 'The coup cannot go unchallenged. Sanctions might impose costs that will not reverse it but could offer modest leverage or deterrence in future. Yet they should be formulated with a clear grasp of their shortfalls.' crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
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"Also likely to curb the effectiveness of economic measures is that the military has never been primarily motivated by profit, and nothing indicates that this coup was about anything other than military disaffection with the political status quo ante... #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
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Israeli right-wing politicians continue to insist that the PA is an autonomous entity in the West Bank and that Hamas has control of Gaza. Yet the PA must ask permission from Israel to transfer them, and Hamas has no say in what vaccines can enter. jpost.com/arab-israeli-c…
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US was unable to militarily *force* the Taliban to stop fighting, so *telling* them to stop (or just slow it down?) is unlikely to work better. They are fighting for political objectives so they will only stop in exchange for something. I’m not justifying, only pointing this out. twitter.com/jseldin/status…
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#CAR #Bambari has become since a week a major hotspot of the fighting opposing Govt forces & Russian troops to the rebel coalition CPC, especially UPC. 18 civilians reportedly killed yesterday only and about 40 injured. The Prime Minister claims the Govt now controls the town. twitter.com/CorbeauNews/st…
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7 children killed, others wounded by “explosive device” in #Zamfara state, NW #Nigeria. State’s Security & Home Affairs Commissioner, Abubakar Dauran says #children picked device in bush while gathering firewood, were playing with it before blast near Magami village, Maradun LGA.
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Acabo de conversar con @TVVnoticias sobre el escenario electoral en #ElSalvador y los elementos que ayudan a entender por qué podríamos estar frente a un parteaguas en la política nacional. twitter.com/TVVnoticias/st…
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800 days Three birthdays Untold moments with friends and family Spent in prison because someone decided to make @MichaelKovrig a chit in a game of hostage diplomacy #FreeMichaelKovrig twitter.com/CrisisGroup/st…
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Today is 800 days since our colleague Michael Kovrig was arbitrarily jailed by China. His sole offence was to be a Canadian in the wrong place at the wrong time. Every day his grit and character in the face of injustice inspire us. #FreeMichaelKovrig bit.ly/FreeKovrig
#Myanmar’s military took the world by surprise by staging a coup d’État. The coup threatens to put an abrupt end to the country’s fragile democratic transition – possibly resulting in deadly violence as mass protests spread. What can the world do? ⇉ bit.ly/3plTrY9
I was so delighted to discuss all things protests and policing in Central Asia with @OlyaOliker and @Hugh_Pope. They are a great team. Check out their rich collection of podcasts here: crisisgroup.org/latest-updates… twitter.com/OlyaOliker/sta…
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The military coup in #Myanmar has halted a decade of political and economic liberalisation, prompting almost universal outrage from Myanmar’s people, who have taken to the streets in protest. Our briefing maps the way forward. bit.ly/3plTrY9
🎧 Central Asia is no exception to protests that have emerged on a global scale. Deep socio-political divisions and populist leaders are among the recurring themes, post-Soviet security expert@Ericamaratt tells@OlyaOlikerr and@Hugh_Popee. open.spotify.com/episode/11TfGH…4
🎧 This week on War & Peace, security expert@Ericamaratt joins@OlyaOlikerr and@Hugh_Popee to discuss what connections can be drawn between collective action and protest-policing dynamics spanning the U.S., Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. Listen to the#podcastt ⇊crisisgroup.org/europe-central…F
"Those responsible for the coup should be sanctioned but the population and economy should be protected from harm. Asian and Western powers should work together to deter violence." Read our new briefing on how to chart out a response to the #MyanmarCoup crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
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Protests and police brutality in Central Asia, Europe, the US: what do they have in common, and where do they diverge? @Ericamarat talks @Hugh_Pope and me (and you, when you listen in) through it on the new @CrisisGroup War and Peace podcast crisisgroup.org/europe-central…
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چرا بعد از گذشت ۴ هفته‌، هنوز دولت بایدن قدم معناداری برای بازگشت به برجام برنداشته است؟ آیا وضع ضرب‌الاجل اسفند ماه برای توقف اجرای پروتکل الحاقی توسط ایران، بازگشت آمریکا به برجام را تسریع می‌کند؟ #????
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More than 7 years on, France and #EU failed to help solve crises in the Sahel. Despite a large number of security initiatives and €8 billion in 🇪🇺 aid, violence kept rising, peaking in 2020. As 🇨🇵 meets #G5Sahelahel#NDjamenamena, h@CrisisGrouproup's take on what must chantwitter.com/CrisisGroup/st…TbqW
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Très heureuse d’avoir apporté ma contribution à cette vidéo de @CrisisGroup twitter.com/crisisgroup/st…
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The war in Ethiopia's #Tigray region was driven by bitter divisions over power sharing. Now, Ethiopia’s government will need to work with chunks of Tigray’s former regional administration & win popular acceptance to avoid being seen as an occupying force. bit.ly/3p6msXX
Taliban seems intent on violently pressuring US, Afghan govt & Afghans: to convince the country of their "strength," but also to ensure the US, in its moment of indecision, fully departs. Meanwhile, many in DC are arguing the violence is a reason to stay. nytimes.com/2021/02/15/wor…
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"Sanctions did not play a decisive role in Myanmar’s 2011 democratic opening," says ICG briefer on ways to respond to #Myanmarcoup. Urges int'l actors to cooperate to prevent violent crackdown, and adopt measures that target coup leaders, not population crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
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Our NEW piece on #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar from ⁦@CrisisGroup⁩, focusing on what foreign actors can do, and the limits on what they can achieve. 👇�crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…ic
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🎧 NEW EPISODE | War & Peace Post-Soviet security expert@Ericamaratt joins@OlyaOlikerr and@Hugh_Popee to discuss the drivers of anti-establishment protests and protest-policing, across Central Asia and globally. Tune in! ⇊crisisgroup.org/europe-central…F
To keep up to date on all new briefings & reports about the #Sahel, make sure to check our Sahel page ☟ crisisgroup.org/africa/sahel
For more, see @CrisisGroup’s report calling on Paris and its international partners to reorient their military-heavy approach toward improving governance. ⇊ crisisgroup.org/africa/sahel/2…
🎬 What should the leaders of France and the Sahel focus on during today’s#G5Sahell summit? Our video outlines why now is the time for a new approach. ☟C
My latest for @CrisisGroup on the #Myanmar coup. It showed disdain for the will of the people and arrested a decade of liberal reforms. How should the world respond? Sanction those responsible while protecting population and economy from harm.👇crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…x
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NEW BRIEFING | Responding to the Myanmar Coup crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…
In a great & unexpected display of political sportsmanship, all the losing candidates conceded defeat & congratulated the winners - the absence of controversies, such as allegations of vote buying, surrounding the election. crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no… via @CrisisGroup
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No one should be wishing for banking crisis. Will do massive real world harm, but not to the generals. Millions won’t get paid, supply chains shut down in unpredictable ways, food prices skyrocket, small businesses collapse. Just as internet & electricity vital, so too are banks. twitter.com/niccijsmith/st…
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Crisis Group’s recent report analyses the Sahel strategy up to this point and calls on France and its international partners to reorient their military-heavy approach toward improving governance. ⇊ crisisgroup.org/africa/sahel/2…
So what can be done? Crisis Group Trustee Bert Koenders, also former UN Special Representative and Head of @UN_MINUSMA, says: We need to dare to dialogue with a mixture of groups at the local level – there are not necessarily only “good and bad guys”.
French MP @tgassilloud emphasises that there have been successes, but adds: “Military efforts [in the Sahel] only make sense if they are accompanied by political efforts on the ground to improve governance, the relationship between the people and the state.”
Jihadist groups in the Sahel have proven to be very resilient, as @NiagaleBagayoko, president of the African Security Sector Network, highlights: We are facing an enemy of a new type, which makes it very difficult to apply classic counter-insurgency doctrines.
German MP @NilsSchmid believes that the force-only approach in the Sahel has reached its limits: “...military operations were quite successful in killing leaders of jihadist movements and militants of these movements. But this came at a price.”
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