I find this part of the last two NC polls pretty surprising. Will be interested to see if that holds
The Florida Gold Coast is a pretty fascinating patch-work of Democratic and Republican enclaves
Clinton has a huge edge among Puerto Rican voters near Orlando (map: Hisp. only)
We have a close race among Hispanic voters in traditionally GOP, Cuban areas around Miami.
If you only looked at our poll on mobile, you should look on desktop: beautiful map nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Trump has a lead among the likeliest voters in Florida--but he trails among everyone else. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
If you're a real polling nerd, scroll down to the bottom and read methods/sample demog. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
One thing Kander (MO-SEN D cand.) has going for him compared to some other Ds is that he's actually a good candidate youtube.com/watch?v=-wqOAp…
It'd be fun if the LAT had some reporter talk to the 5 black voters in their panel driving these swings
I applauded the UMW poll for showing this, but there's no defense of basically *only* including self-reported 12 vt
Pretty simple illustration of the Clinton third party issue. Would you consider supporting a third party candidate?
The gap on whether a loss for their preferred candidate would mean the election was "rigged" is huge
In Ohio, the party breakdown of who actually voted was nearly identical in 2004, 2008 & 2012.
Where were demographic shifts were necessary for Obama's victory? Probably just Florida. nytimes.com/2016/09/15/ups…
This is the guy who says Trump is winning because of crowd sizes at rallies - almost too perfect (ht @JustinWolfers
Pew suggests there might be a bit of a Trump effect among Mormons people-press.org/files/2016/09/…
Pew shows no attenuation in Democratic advantage among younger milennials
Pew Report shows Party-ID basically ~2012, but Dems still slipping with white no degree people-press.org/files/2016/09/…
The income data is great, but this contrast seems telling: Fastest income growth, non-citizens; Worst: non-metro US
The group with negative income growth: people outside of metropolitan areas
Just in: Statement from Clinton’s doctor after examination at her Chappaqua home
fwiw, dew point was 72 at 9am--very gross w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory…
now posting neo-Nazi memes on Instagram featuring their mascot Pepe the frog: (via @BuzzFeedAndrew
Interestingly, ABC/Post poll makes a party-ID audible (the WaPo/SurveyMonkey poll did this in a few states, too)