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Nate Cohn

Pew finds that 17% of white working class Dem panelists now consider themselves Republicans. Only 68% consistently D
Siena College's side of the NYT Upshot polling partnership... this should be the future of media polling. #AAPOR
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
Here's the visible satellite loop of the Pacific Northwest 37 years ago today - as Mount St. Helens erupted. #wawx
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
BREAKING: US Justice Dept. appointing former FBI Director Robert Mueller as special counsel for Russia investigation.
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
SPACE SHUTTLE STALKS ITS PREY ... no matter how many times I see this, it always slays me. #NASA #SpaceShuttle ;)
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
New and relevant in Upshot-Land: If Americans Can Find North Korea on a Map, They’re More Likely to Prefer Diplomacy nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
Another pretty compelling paper on the impact of lead on crime, in Sweden this time: …6-a-62cb3a1a-s-sites.googlegroups.com/site/nilssonja…
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
"I wonder what the Gallup poll was today?" "Oh, it must have been good for Trump if it's not all over Twitter"
This is a new thing: A Democratic #OHGov candidate says she wouldn't activate the state's national guard for Trump. dispatch.com/news/20170511/…
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
What a great data ferrett
Black share of the electorate drops a point, falling about a third of the way between 12 and 04. Consistent w/voter file data
White share of the electorate drops a tick, as demographic change slightly outpaced dropping black turnout/higher white turnout
Trump fires the FBI director. Extraordinary news development. Stay tuned for full coverage by NYT team.
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
Comey is on 10/28. Here, Wang chart shows polls started on 10/26 (ie, through 28) are terrible for Clinton.
Green line = the estimate in our piece Black line = that 538 line Red dots = national polls by mean field period
This difficulty was acknowledged by Nate at the time. fivethirtyeight.com/features/elect…
I am pretty sure that the Comey effect was exaggerated, maybe greatly, by pre-Comey polls released after the letter nytimes.com/2017/05/08/ups…
I'm not sure whether Comey cost Clinton the presidency nytimes.com/2017/05/08/ups…
My heart rate reached almost 160bpm during the AHCA vote. Manual data entry on a tight deadline is, as you might guess, extremely stressful.
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
The votes are displayed on these big boards behind the speaker/press gallery, but they don't put it on the internet live! So, manual entry.
I would think that Reichert and Paulson would be hurt more than just about anyone by being a 'deciding' vote for ACHA
Trump Voter Feels Betrayed By President After Reading 800 Pages Of Queer Feminist Theory
Retweeted by Nate Cohn
 
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