Kelly Horak πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ | Making Finance Friendly

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Spread between the 2 YR & 10 YR Treas. is +7.5 BPS today. $SPX
Magnificent sunset over Symi Island in Greece πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·πŸ’™uRkcW
Retweeted by Kelly Horak πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ | Making Finance Friendly
Large jump in shorter term duration Treas. bond yields this morning relative to longer term yields. Inversion becoming more defined but not definite. $SPX $VIX
So, 2YR Yield > 10YR Yield advancing over 10 YR Yield now, + .5 - 1 BP twitter.com/Sentileon/stat…
Watch the 2/10 YR Spread when Job’s report is released at 7:30 AM CST. 5YR Yield > 30YR currently
Longer-term yields declining at a faster pace than short-term. Spread between the 10-YR & 2-YR is 4 BPS narrowing sharply. Jobs report this morning should impact current curve further today. twitter.com/Sentileon/stat…
$SPX 1st chart illustrates major indices performance summary for Q122 about done, and the 2nd chart shows how the 2022 $SPX performance compares to the 26-Year averages by month. Clearly, significant progress has been made up in the month of March; now only down -3.08% YTD.
This is going to be something to keep an eye on as longer term yields begin to fall below shorter term. Rates are not final for today. $SPX
$SPX Market Risk Grade (3/29/22 2PM CST). I have not seen this in awhile, but a very welcome sight even if only temporarily. Not financial advice, for informational & educational purposes only.
Almost have offset all the $VIX gains YTD. Still up 8.71% YTD
Solid morning thus far in the $SPX index. Hope to see follow through for the remainder of the day. $VIX is down to 19.18 (-2.29%).
5-year and 30-year Treasury yields remain inverted, with jobs data in focus @CNBC cnbc.com/2022/03/29/us-…
$SPX Market Risk Grade (3/28/22 close). Not financial advice, for informational & educational purposes only.
Much more responsive $VIX today, given just a slight pullback in the averages $SPX.
$SPX Market Risk Grade (3/25/22 close). Not financial advice, for informational & educational purposes only.
This first chart illustrates the 10-Day chng. in $SPX relative to the $VIX. Over the period, the $SPX has climbed a little over 8%, while the $VIX has fallen 32.3%. The 2nd chart illustrates the pace at which the 10-YR Treas. has climbed (+35 BPS), and up +77 BPS since 3/4/22.
Quick recap of the $SPX & $VIX performance this week, and continued progress toward recovery off the lows:
63% of the $SPX is gaining this morning, however the avg. return on the gainers is underperforming the decliners by 17 BPS. Typically not a good sign.
(Return > Risk) share % of $SPX is 41.39% this morning; highest reading since I began tracking on 2/18/22.
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