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Nate Silver
books sport food politics 695,804 followers
Contrary to stereotypes, many Republicans have moderate views on immigration.…
What are Vance McAllister’s chances of re-election if he doesn't resign? A jungle primary may complicate things.
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re: Jeb. We found some polling on the Common Core. It's not that controversial, even among conservative Republicans.
"Colbert ranked first among the 15 hosts whom we searched for, at 16 Arsenios."
Is Jeb Bush a "terrible candidate"? Not based on the poly sci research, says @ForecasterEnten:
We recently did a survey on @StephenAtHome. Small sample, but 30% of his audience is <30 vs. just 7% for Letterman.
Do mammograms violate the assumption that "more information cannot generate worse decisions"? Here's @ProfEmilyOster:
If Hank Aaron had 0 home runs instead of 755, he'd still be a Hall of Famer:
Correlation may not be causation. But the gender pay gap is wider in states with fewer women in political office:
Wyoming, the Equality State, was the first to give women the right to vote, but has the highest gender pay gap.
Which MLB players are a standard deviation above average in all 5 tools? Gonzalez, Harper, Puig, Tulo.
What's happening tonight in the women's NCAA final has never happened in any other team sport.
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.@bencasselman finds both the poor and the rich are experiencing more inflation than the middle class:
Clear eyes full hearts explain the news:
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Are Americans center-right or center-left? Maybe both. This paper by @MattGrossmann and @DaveAHopkins is fascinating:…
The exception was Intel, where 60% of employee donations in 2008 were pro Prop 8 (against gay marriage):
In 2008, 83% of employee donations at top Silicon Valley firms were pro gay marriage. 96% at Google, 94% at Apple.
.@DataDhrumil joins us from Amazon, where he was working as a software engineer. Before that, he was a fellow at Northwestern's @knightlab.
Pleased to announce that @FiveThirtyEight has hired Dhrumil Mehta (@DataDhrumil) as a database journalist. (1/2)
.@bencasselman: The private sector has finally regained the jobs it lost during the recession.
And @etangreen looks at whether umpires are afraid to call 3rd strikes. (Spoiler: yes).
Two really fun baseball pieces up. First, @skepticalsports looks at whether Mike Trout has already had his peak.
"Super Zips" helped vault Terry McAuliffe (@GovernorVA) into office. Democrats can't count on such areas in 2014.
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